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Nate Hartley's avatar

I dont measure my health as an individual, husband and father purely based on my W2. In the same way, GDP growth metrics are a poor way of measuring a nations' health. That's why it's impossible to argue with economists about Trump and tariffs. They only have one, myopic view on the nation, one that is detached from factors besides GDP.

Personally, I dont care if Larry Fink gets 20x richer, and GDP metrics rise as a result. I dont want my neighbors to be on welfare and I dont want China to have us by the balls. I'd rather GDP be a little lower and have a safe, healthy nation with a coherent national identity, with a high-trust society to boot, even it it comes at the expense of GDP growth. Why is that so hard for people to grasp?

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Ken's avatar

Only one caveat, GDP isn't a bad word either and is a more or less reliable measure of a nation's economic health. But the equities markets are not themselves a component of GDP so equities market reactions, while potentially predictive of near term GDP direction, don't really hit the bottom line. It's become popular on the right to criticize the GDP metric as tilted toward and beneficial to financebros and used to justify all the indignities committed by the left. But when a million migrants are imported to take the jobs a million Americans but at half the cost, it's not a positive for GDP and odds in fact a negative to per capita GDP. TL;DR I don't think we should discard the metric entirely but rather argue it because it supports our vision over the long term.

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